Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.437105 1.630519 1.842401 2.092074 2.378663 2.697832 3.080918
2025-11-30 1.186925 1.450300 1.762634 2.161723 2.660105 3.264512 4.056946
2025-12-07 0.998985 1.296306 1.672446 2.186273 2.874662 3.771682 5.039909
2025-12-14 0.843615 1.150771 1.560895 2.153598 2.996563 4.164878 5.928422
2025-12-21 0.716362 1.019565 1.443486 2.086527 3.049719 4.458580 6.711682
2025-12-28 0.660302 0.977360 1.439978 2.174180 3.328819 5.106152 8.109814
2026-01-04 0.608871 0.933435 1.425507 2.239052 3.576468 5.733726 9.570182
2026-01-11 0.562094 0.889617 1.403801 2.286343 3.797663 6.343439 11.091679
2026-01-18 0.518554 0.844971 1.374080 2.314153 3.986130 6.918752 12.638802
2026-01-25 0.469012 0.784413 1.310544 2.274869 4.049816 7.279789 13.843489
2026-02-01 0.415787 0.711678 1.218033 2.172312 3.983737 7.391516 14.579334
2026-02-08 0.377699 0.661159 1.158430 2.121400 4.005368 7.667531 15.682086
2026-02-15 0.343686 0.615800 1.105656 2.081581 4.052373 8.017792 17.042104
2026-02-22 0.330534 0.607261 1.119485 2.171830 4.371487 8.967546 19.886855
2026-03-01 0.311422 0.585470 1.105909 2.205977 4.580251 9.719076 22.431763
2026-03-08 0.287111 0.551098 1.064194 2.177124 4.650406 10.179213 24.376283
2026-03-15 0.261520 0.511610 1.008137 2.111037 4.629101 10.429189 25.849956
2026-03-22 0.253906 0.507527 1.023365 2.200626 4.972800 11.581891 29.874394
2026-03-29 0.244534 0.498804 1.027875 2.266726 5.270934 12.672820 33.966965
2026-04-05 0.234270 0.487129 1.024761 2.314819 5.532388 13.714584 38.149337
2026-04-12 0.223195 0.472597 1.013837 2.343080 5.748461 14.674494 42.306920
2026-04-19 0.207928 0.447390 0.976566 2.303299 5.784516 15.160168 45.139769
2026-04-26 0.189491 0.413426 0.916136 2.199374 5.637504 15.119746 46.316787